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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Roland Delorme vs Josh Ferguson

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Roland Delorme
Josh Ferguson
47% 53%
Why
28
Age
Δ 4y
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Delorme: 36 sig / 2 TD · Ferguson: 34 sig / 0 TD
Roland Delorme
Josh Ferguson
36
Sig strikes landed
36
76
Sig strikes attempted
71
52
Total strikes landed
54
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
131s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Roland Delorme

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Josh Ferguson

"Taz"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24