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Prelims1 Featherweight

Marcus Brimage vs Stephen Bass

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Marcus Brimage
Stephen Bass
39% 61%
Why
27
Age
Δ 2y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Brimage: 88 sig / 1 TD · Bass: 73 sig / 0 TD
Marcus Brimage
Stephen Bass
32
Sig strikes landed
37
64
Sig strikes attempted
75
45
Total strikes landed
54
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
123s
Control time
154s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Marcus Brimage

"The Bama Beast"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
Blue corner

Stephen Bass

"Bigfish"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29