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Louis Gaudinot vs Johnny Bedford

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Louis Gaudinot
Johnny Bedford
49% 51%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 8"
71"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Gaudinot: 6 sig / 0 TD · Bedford: 82 sig / 4 TD
Louis Gaudinot
Johnny Bedford
30
Sig strikes landed
41
68
Sig strikes attempted
84
43
Total strikes landed
57
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
157s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Louis Gaudinot

"Goodnight"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Johnny Bedford

"Brutal"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29