Main
Lightweight
Tony Ferguson vs Yves Edwards
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisping vs Team Miller Finale
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tony Ferguson
Yves Edwards
56%
44%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
28
Age
Δ 7y
35
27-11
Career record
Δ 6 pp
43-22-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ferguson: 61 sig / 1 TD ·
Edwards: 45 sig / 0 TD
Tony Ferguson
Yves Edwards
32
Sig strikes landed
26
86
Sig strikes attempted
72
38
Total strikes landed
33
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
29s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Tony Ferguson
"El Cucuy"
27-11
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
Blue corner
W1
Yves Edwards
43-22-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
L
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—