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Main Middleweight

Wanderlei Silva vs Cung Le

UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson ·SAP Center at San Jose

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Wanderlei Silva
Cung Le
90% 10%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
35
Age
Δ 4y
40
L1
Current streak
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Silva: 43 sig / 0 TD · Le: 32 sig / 0 TD
Wanderlei Silva
Cung Le
34
Sig strikes landed
27
77
Sig strikes attempted
65
49
Total strikes landed
41
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.60
Knockdowns
0.20
57s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Wanderlei Silva

"The Axe Murderer"
35-14-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
W UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
Blue corner

Cung Le

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40