Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Matt Ricehouse
Bill Cooper
87%
13%
Why
25
Age
Δ 3y
28
7-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
3-1
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Matt Ricehouse
Bill Cooper
47
Sig strikes landed
48
119
Sig strikes attempted
116
49
Total strikes landed
56
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.8
0.2
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
82s
Control time
167s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Matt Ricehouse
7-1
Career record
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
W
Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Bab…
—
W
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
—
Blue corner
W1
Bill Cooper
3-1
Career record
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce Challengers 17
—