Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
King Green
James Reese
96%
4%
Why
25
Age
Δ 6y
31
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
King Green
James Reese
46
Sig strikes landed
36
111
Sig strikes attempted
101
62
Total strikes landed
50
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
140s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
King Green
36-17-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
Strikeforce Challengers 19
—
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—
Blue corner
James Reese
"JP"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Age
31