Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Chris Cope
Che Mills
51%
49%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cope: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Mills: 11 sig / 0 TD
Chris Cope
Che Mills
46
Sig strikes landed
52
130
Sig strikes attempted
129
54
Total strikes landed
65
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
72s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Chris Cope
"C-Murder"
9-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
Blue corner
Che Mills
"Beautiful"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29