Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Michihiro Omigawa
Jason Young
37%
63%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 5"
73"
36
Age
Δ 10y
25
17-15-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
9-7
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Omigawa: 25 sig / 4 TD ·
Young: 32 sig / 2 TD
Michihiro Omigawa
Jason Young
50
Sig strikes landed
62
120
Sig strikes attempted
155
69
Total strikes landed
73
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
167s
Control time
92s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Michihiro Omigawa
17-15-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
L
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
Blue corner
L1
Jason Young
"Shotgun"
9-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—