Back to UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Prelims2 Middleweight

Chris Camozzi vs Francis Carmont

UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Chris Camozzi
Francis Carmont
57% 43%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
25
Age
Δ 5y
30
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Camozzi: 22 sig / 0 TD · Carmont: 51 sig / 3 TD
Chris Camozzi
Francis Carmont
43
Sig strikes landed
33
81
Sig strikes attempted
81
64
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
149s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Chris Camozzi

24-14
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
W UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
—
Blue corner

Francis Carmont

"Limitless"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30