Back to UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Prelims2 Middleweight

Dustin Jacoby vs Clifford Starks

UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Dustin Jacoby
Clifford Starks
70% 30%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
24
Age
Δ 7y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jacoby: 18 sig / 0 TD · Starks: 26 sig / 3 TD
Dustin Jacoby
Clifford Starks
40
Sig strikes landed
31
82
Sig strikes attempted
66
57
Total strikes landed
48
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
108s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Dustin Jacoby

"The Hanyak"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner

Clifford Starks

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31