Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Ramsey Nijem
Danny Downes
53%
47%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
24
Age
Δ 2y
26
9-7
Career record
Δ 10 pp
8-4
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nijem: 59 sig / 8 TD ·
Downes: 6 sig / 0 TD
Ramsey Nijem
Danny Downes
36
Sig strikes landed
45
87
Sig strikes attempted
89
53
Total strikes landed
52
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
80s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ramsey Nijem
9-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
Blue corner
L1
Danny Downes
8-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—