Back to UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
Prelims1 Featherweight

Tyson Griffin vs Bart Palaszewski

UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Tyson Griffin
Bart Palaszewski
33% 67%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
28
Age
Δ 1y
28
W1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Griffin: 6 sig / 0 TD · Palaszewski: 17 sig / 0 TD
Tyson Griffin
Bart Palaszewski
32
Sig strikes landed
40
62
Sig strikes attempted
81
45
Total strikes landed
57
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
134s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Tyson Griffin

17-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
W UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
—
L UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
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L UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
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L UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
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Blue corner

Bart Palaszewski

"Bartimus"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28