Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
James Terry
Magno Almeida
78%
22%
Why
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
19-10
Career record
Δ 6 pp
10-4
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
James Terry
Magno Almeida
48
Sig strikes landed
38
99
Sig strikes attempted
118
60
Total strikes landed
67
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.5
2.9
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
144s
Control time
186s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
James Terry
"Intensity"
19-10
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 15
—
W
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Cyborg
—
W
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Noons 2
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 6
—
Blue corner
L1
Magno Almeida
10-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
—