Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Matt Wiman
Mac Danzig
60%
40%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
16-11
Career record
Δ 4 pp
22-12-1
L1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wiman: 93 sig / 2 TD ·
Danzig: 66 sig / 2 TD
Matt Wiman
Mac Danzig
29
Sig strikes landed
30
75
Sig strikes attempted
62
52
Total strikes landed
47
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
5.2
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
218s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Matt Wiman
16-11
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
Blue corner
W1
Mac Danzig
22-12-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
L
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
W
UFC 109: Relentless
—