Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Hideo Tokoro
Antonio Banuelos
43%
57%
Why
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
W3
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Tokoro: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Banuelos: 27 sig / 3 TD
Hideo Tokoro
Antonio Banuelos
49
Sig strikes landed
31
95
Sig strikes attempted
68
49
Total strikes landed
54
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
86s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Hideo Tokoro
35-29-2
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
DREAM - Japan GP Final
—
W
DREAM - Fight for Japan
—
W
Dynamite!! 2010
—
L
DREAM 16
—
L
DREAM 14
—
Blue corner
Antonio Banuelos
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32