Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Masakazu Imanari
Abel Cullum
54%
46%
Why
36
Age
Δ 11y
24
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Imanari: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Cullum: 23 sig / 0 TD
Masakazu Imanari
Abel Cullum
37
Sig strikes landed
37
69
Sig strikes attempted
65
42
Total strikes landed
55
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
4.8
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
120s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Masakazu Imanari
36-17-2
Career record
Height
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
DREAM - Japan GP Final
—
W
DREAM - Fight for Japan
—
Blue corner
Abel Cullum
"The Silent Assassin"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24