Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Caol Uno
Takeshi Inoue
69%
31%
Why
36
Age
Δ 5y
32
34-19-5
Career record
Δ 12 pp
24-10
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Uno: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Inoue: 12 sig / 0 TD
Caol Uno
Takeshi Inoue
39
Sig strikes landed
39
98
Sig strikes attempted
92
56
Total strikes landed
65
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.50
126s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Caol Uno
"Uno Shoten"
34-19-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
DREAM - Fight for Japan
—
L
Dynamite!! 2010
—
Blue corner
W1
Takeshi Inoue
"Lion"
24-10
Career record
Height
68"
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
DREAM - Fight for Japan
—
L
DREAM 16
—