Back to Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Kharitonov
Women's Bantamweight

Amanda Nunes vs Alexis Davis

Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Kharitonov ·U.S. Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Amanda Nunes
Alexis Davis
79% 21%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
23
Age
Δ 4y
27
24-5
Career record
Δ 16 pp
22-11
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nunes: 36 sig / 1 TD · Davis: 61 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Nunes
Alexis Davis
32
Sig strikes landed
15
75
Sig strikes attempted
47
52
Total strikes landed
40
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
133s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Amanda Nunes

"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Strikeforce Challengers 13
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Blue corner
W1

Alexis Davis

22-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
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