Welterweight
Evangelista Santos vs Jordan Mein
Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Kharitonov
·U.S. Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Evangelista Santos
Jordan Mein
13%
87%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
34
Age
Δ 12y
22
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Santos: 43 sig / 0 TD ·
Mein: 68 sig / 0 TD
Evangelista Santos
Jordan Mein
42
Sig strikes landed
52
97
Sig strikes attempted
117
54
Total strikes landed
67
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.50
Knockdowns
0.50
139s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Evangelista Santos
"Cyborg"
21-19
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Cyborg
—
W
Strikeforce - Los Angeles
—
Blue corner
Jordan Mein
"Young Gun"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22