Back to Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Kharitonov
Middleweight

Dominique Steele vs Chris Mierzwiak

Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Kharitonov ·U.S. Bank Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Dominique Steele
Chris Mierzwiak
83% 17%
Why
24
Age
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Steele: 26 sig / 3 TD · Mierzwiak: 24 sig / 2 TD
Dominique Steele
Chris Mierzwiak
41
Sig strikes landed
44
100
Sig strikes attempted
104
58
Total strikes landed
54
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
157s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Dominique Steele

"Non-Stop Action-Packed"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner

Chris Mierzwiak

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Age
24