Back to Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Kharitonov
Light Heavyweight

Rafael Cavalcante vs Yoel Romero

Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Kharitonov ·U.S. Bank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Rafael Cavalcante
Yoel Romero
55% 45%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
31
Age
Δ 3y
34
L1
Current streak
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3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Cavalcante: 17 sig / 1 TD · Romero: 26 sig / 0 TD
Rafael Cavalcante
Yoel Romero
26
Sig strikes landed
23
61
Sig strikes attempted
42
39
Total strikes landed
34
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
101s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Rafael Cavalcante

"Feijao"
12-8 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Hender…
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W Strikeforce - Houston
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W Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
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Blue corner

Yoel Romero

"Soldier of God"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34