Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Antonio Silva
Daniel Cormier
36%
64%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 10"
72"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
20-12-1
Career record
Δ 28 pp
23-3
W3
Current streak
W4
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Silva: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Cormier: 15 sig / 0 TD
Antonio Silva
Daniel Cormier
34
Sig strikes landed
30
81
Sig strikes attempted
61
45
Total strikes landed
45
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.7
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
210s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
20-12-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Silva
—
W
Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Bab…
—
W
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
—
Blue corner
W4
Daniel Cormier
"DC"
23-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 13
—
W
Strikeforce - Houston
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—