Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Takeya Mizugaki
Cole Escovedo
66%
34%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
21-12-2
Career record
Δ 3 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Mizugaki: 70 sig / 1 TD ·
Escovedo: 29 sig / 0 TD
Takeya Mizugaki
Cole Escovedo
36
Sig strikes landed
36
93
Sig strikes attempted
83
58
Total strikes landed
48
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
134s
Control time
84s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Takeya Mizugaki
21-12-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
L1
Cole Escovedo
"Apache Kid"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
—