Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Junior Assuncao
Eddie Yagin
60%
40%
Why
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Assuncao: 63 sig / 3 TD ·
Yagin: 10 sig / 0 TD
Junior Assuncao
Eddie Yagin
41
Sig strikes landed
38
83
Sig strikes attempted
78
54
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
123s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Junior Assuncao
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
Eddie Yagin
"The Filipino Phenom"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33