Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
James Te Huna
Ricardo Romero
61%
39%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
16-10
Career record
Δ 12 pp
11-4
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Te Huna: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Romero: 0 sig / 0 TD
James Te Huna
Ricardo Romero
20
Sig strikes landed
16
29
Sig strikes attempted
29
43
Total strikes landed
33
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
236s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
James Te Huna
16-10
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
L1
Ricardo Romero
11-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
W
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—