Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Nick Ring
Tim Boetsch
64%
36%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
15-4
Career record
Δ 16 pp
22-13
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ring: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Boetsch: 46 sig / 4 TD
Nick Ring
Tim Boetsch
30
Sig strikes landed
30
77
Sig strikes attempted
74
50
Total strikes landed
45
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.2
Takedowns attempted
4.6
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
217s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Nick Ring
"The Promise"
15-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
Blue corner
W1
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
22-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
—
L
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
W
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—