Back to UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Ken Stone vs Donny Walker

UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger ·Ernest N. Morial Convention Center
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ken Stone
Donny Walker
79% 21%
Why
29
Age
Δ 3y
32
11-5
Career record
Δ 11 pp
15-11
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Stone: 7 sig / 2 TD · Walker: 1 sig / 0 TD
Ken Stone
Donny Walker
38
Sig strikes landed
36
71
Sig strikes attempted
91
66
Total strikes landed
68
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.2
2.6
Takedowns attempted
4.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
90s
Control time
253s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ken Stone

11-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
Blue corner
L1

Donny Walker

"Eagle Eye"
15-11
Career record
Height
69"
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—