Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Nah-Shon Burrell
Lukasz Les
82%
18%
Why
22
Age
Δ 8y
30
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nah-Shon Burrell
Lukasz Les
42
Sig strikes landed
39
109
Sig strikes attempted
90
55
Total strikes landed
49
1.3
Takedowns landed
2.8
1.6
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
137s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Nah-Shon Burrell
"The Rock n Rolla"
16-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
—
Blue corner
Lukasz Les
0-0
Career record
Age
30