Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Gian Villante
Keith Berry
79%
21%
Why
26
Age
Δ 2y
24
17-15
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-15-1
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gian Villante
Keith Berry
44
Sig strikes landed
48
106
Sig strikes attempted
101
56
Total strikes landed
60
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
128s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Gian Villante
17-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Silva
—
Blue corner
L1
Keith Berry
15-15-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—