Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Pat Healy
Eric Wisely
40%
60%
Why
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
W1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Healy: 16 sig / 3 TD ·
Wisely: 7 sig / 0 TD
Pat Healy
Eric Wisely
36
Sig strikes landed
34
90
Sig strikes attempted
81
56
Total strikes landed
52
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.9
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
147s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Pat Healy
"Bam Bam"
35-23
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
Strikeforce Challengers 14
—
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Werdum
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 8
—
Blue corner
Eric Wisely
"Little Lee"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27