Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ronny Markes
Karlos Vemola
61%
39%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
23
Age
Δ 3y
26
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Markes: 40 sig / 6 TD ·
Vemola: 8 sig / 0 TD
Ronny Markes
Karlos Vemola
31
Sig strikes landed
27
63
Sig strikes attempted
56
47
Total strikes landed
43
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.7
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
93s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ronny Markes
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
Blue corner
W1
Karlos Vemola
18-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
L
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—