Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Benson Henderson
66%
34%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
40-19
Career record
Δ 10 pp
25-7
W5
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Henderson: 65 sig / 7 TD
Jim Miller
Benson Henderson
27
Sig strikes landed
28
83
Sig strikes attempted
80
45
Total strikes landed
63
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.7
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
101s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Jim Miller
"A-10"
40-19
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
W
UFC 108: Evans vs Silva
—
Blue corner
W1
Benson Henderson
"Smooth"
25-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—