Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Masakazu Imanari
Hideo Tokoro
85%
15%
Why
35
Age
Δ 2y
34
37-16-2
Career record
Δ 14 pp
35-29-2
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 2
Imanari: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Tokoro: 21 sig / 0 TD
Masakazu Imanari
Hideo Tokoro
28
Sig strikes landed
51
52
Sig strikes attempted
69
54
Total strikes landed
38
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
123s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Masakazu Imanari
37-16-2
Career record
Height
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DREAM - Fight for Japan
—
Blue corner
W2
Hideo Tokoro
35-29-2
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
DREAM - Fight for Japan
—
W
Dynamite!! 2010
—
L
DREAM 16
—
L
DREAM 14
—