Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Hiroyuki Takaya
Kazuyuki Miyata
65%
35%
Why
34
Age
Δ 1y
36
22-14-2
Career record
Δ 6 pp
16-9
W3
Current streak
W3
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Takaya: 58 sig / 1 TD ·
Miyata: 79 sig / 2 TD
Hiroyuki Takaya
Kazuyuki Miyata
35
Sig strikes landed
29
100
Sig strikes attempted
88
51
Total strikes landed
34
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.60
Knockdowns
0.40
99s
Control time
-2s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Hiroyuki Takaya
"Streetfight Bancho"
22-14-2
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
Dynamite!! 2010
—
W
DREAM 16
—
W
DREAM 14
—
Blue corner
W3
Kazuyuki Miyata
16-9
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
Dynamite!! 2010
—
W
DREAM 16
—
W
DREAM 14
—