Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Keisuke Fujiwara
Kenji Osawa
51%
49%
Why
29
Age
Δ 6y
35
17-13-5
Career record
Δ 13 pp
21-11-2
L1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 2
Fujiwara: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
Osawa: 11 sig / 6 TD
Keisuke Fujiwara
Kenji Osawa
39
Sig strikes landed
49
83
Sig strikes attempted
102
64
Total strikes landed
70
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
99s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Keisuke Fujiwara
17-13-5
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DREAM - Fight for Japan
—
Blue corner
W2
Kenji Osawa
21-11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
DREAM - Fight for Japan
—
W
DREAM 14
—