Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Bill Cooper
Maka Watson
77%
23%
Why
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Bill Cooper
Maka Watson
39
Sig strikes landed
39
95
Sig strikes attempted
94
51
Total strikes landed
53
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
157s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Bill Cooper
0-0
Career record
Age
27
Blue corner
Maka Watson
0-0
Career record
Age
27