Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sterling Ford
Brian McLaughlin
86%
14%
Why
25
Age
Δ 2y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sterling Ford
Brian McLaughlin
43
Sig strikes landed
44
108
Sig strikes attempted
103
59
Total strikes landed
54
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
167s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Sterling Ford
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Age
25
Blue corner
Brian McLaughlin
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Age
27