Women's Bantamweight
Sarah Kaufman vs Liz Carmouche
Strikeforce Challengers 17
·Pearl Concert Theater
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sarah Kaufman
Liz Carmouche
78%
22%
Why
66"
Reach
66"
26
Age
Δ 2y
27
18-5
Career record
Δ 16 pp
13-8
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kaufman: 111 sig / 0 TD ·
Carmouche: 81 sig / 1 TD
Sarah Kaufman
Liz Carmouche
51
Sig strikes landed
55
123
Sig strikes attempted
142
82
Total strikes landed
81
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
140s
Control time
178s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Sarah Kaufman
18-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Noons 2
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 9
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 6
—
Blue corner
L1
Liz Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
13-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Hender…
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 12
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 10
—