Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marloes Coenen
Miesha Tate
83%
17%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
30
Age
Δ 5y
25
24-8
Career record
Δ 7 pp
21-10
W2
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 4
Coenen: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Tate: 5 sig / 4 TD
Marloes Coenen
Miesha Tate
29
Sig strikes landed
30
81
Sig strikes attempted
79
51
Total strikes landed
58
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
165s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Marloes Coenen
24-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Hender…
—
W
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Noons 2
—
L
Strikeforce - Miami
—
Blue corner
W2
Miesha Tate
"Cupcake"
21-10
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Strikeforce Challengers 10
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 7
—