Back to Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henderson
Middleweight

Tim Kennedy vs Robbie Lawler

Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henderson ·Sears Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Tim Kennedy
Robbie Lawler
51% 49%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
32
Age
Δ 2y
29
19-6
Career record
Δ 12 pp
30-17
W1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kennedy: 32 sig / 5 TD · Lawler: 11 sig / 0 TD
Tim Kennedy
Robbie Lawler
30
Sig strikes landed
28
66
Sig strikes attempted
70
41
Total strikes landed
44
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
126s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Tim Kennedy

19-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Hender…
—
L Strikeforce - Houston
—
W Strikeforce - Los Angeles
—
Blue corner
L1

Robbie Lawler

"Ruthless"
30-17 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Cyborg
—
W Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Bab…
—
L Strikeforce - Los Angeles
—
W Strikeforce - Miami
—