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Heavyweight

Fedor Emelianenko vs Dan Henderson

Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henderson ·Sears Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Fedor Emelianenko
Dan Henderson
85% 15%
Why
74"
Reach
74"
35
Age
Δ 6y
41
36-6
Career record
Δ 17 pp
33-15
L2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Emelianenko: 7 sig / 0 TD · Henderson: 22 sig / 0 TD
Fedor Emelianenko
Dan Henderson
20
Sig strikes landed
24
46
Sig strikes attempted
57
36
Total strikes landed
36
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
151s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Fedor Emelianenko

"The Last Emperor"
36-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Silva
—
L Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Werdum
—
Blue corner
W2

Dan Henderson

"Hendo"
33-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Hender…
—
W Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Bab…
—
L Strikeforce - Nashville
—