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Vitor Belfort vs Yoshihiro Akiyama

UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 ·Xfinity Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Vitor Belfort
Yoshihiro Akiyama
62% 38%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
26-15
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-7
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Belfort: 12 sig / 0 TD · Akiyama: 1 sig / 0 TD
Vitor Belfort
Yoshihiro Akiyama
33
Sig strikes landed
29
75
Sig strikes attempted
72
46
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.2
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
78s
Control time
180s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
25%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Vitor Belfort

"The Phenom"
26-15 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
Blue corner
L2

Yoshihiro Akiyama

14-7 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
L UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—