Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Dennis Hallman
Brian Ebersole
49%
51%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
36
Age
Δ 5y
31
54-20-2
Career record
Δ 2 pp
52-18-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hallman: 0 sig / 1 TD ·
Ebersole: 19 sig / 0 TD
Dennis Hallman
Brian Ebersole
18
Sig strikes landed
16
38
Sig strikes attempted
38
38
Total strikes landed
32
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.0
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
187s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Dennis Hallman
"Superman"
54-20-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
W
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
Blue corner
W1
Brian Ebersole
"Bad Boy"
52-18-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—