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Main Middleweight

Jorge Rivera vs Constantinos Philippou

UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 ·Xfinity Mobile Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jorge Rivera
Constantinos Philippou
59% 41%
Why
73"
Reach
73"
39
Age
Δ 8y
32
20-10
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-6
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Rivera: 25 sig / 1 TD · Philippou: 35 sig / 2 TD
Jorge Rivera
Constantinos Philippou
32
Sig strikes landed
25
70
Sig strikes attempted
67
50
Total strikes landed
31
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
120s
Control time
48s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jorge Rivera

"El Conquistador"
20-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
W UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
Blue corner
L1

Constantinos Philippou

13-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—