Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jerron Peoples
Eduardo Pamplona
69%
31%
Why
29
Age
Δ 9y
38
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jerron Peoples
Eduardo Pamplona
42
Sig strikes landed
46
101
Sig strikes attempted
99
50
Total strikes landed
69
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
91s
Control time
198s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jerron Peoples
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Age
29
Blue corner
Eduardo Pamplona
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Age
38