Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Erick Silva
Luis Ramos
59%
41%
Why
27
Age
Δ 3y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Silva: 4 sig / 0 TD ·
Ramos: 4 sig / 0 TD
Erick Silva
Luis Ramos
39
Sig strikes landed
36
83
Sig strikes attempted
72
54
Total strikes landed
55
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
125s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Erick Silva
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Luis Ramos
"Beicao"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31