Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Luiz Cane
Stanislav Nedkov
60%
40%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 6"
71"
30
Age
Δ 1y
30
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cane: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Nedkov: 29 sig / 0 TD
Luiz Cane
Stanislav Nedkov
30
Sig strikes landed
25
67
Sig strikes attempted
43
39
Total strikes landed
36
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Luiz Cane
"Banha"
18-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
L
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
Blue corner
Stanislav Nedkov
"Stucky"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30