Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Joachim Hansen
Mitsuhiro Ishida
57%
43%
Why
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
24-14-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
21-8-1
W1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 2
Hansen: 9 sig / 1 TD ·
Ishida: 27 sig / 5 TD
Joachim Hansen
Mitsuhiro Ishida
20
Sig strikes landed
33
72
Sig strikes attempted
74
47
Total strikes landed
55
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.6
3.5
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
130s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Joachim Hansen
"Hellboy"
24-14-1
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
DREAM 16
—
L
DREAM 14
—
L
DREAM 13
—
Blue corner
W2
Mitsuhiro Ishida
"The Endless Warrior"
21-8-1
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
DREAM 16
—
W
DREAM 15
—