Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Tyson Griffin
Manvel Gamburyan
69%
31%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
L3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Griffin: 67 sig / 0 TD ·
Gamburyan: 32 sig / 2 TD
Tyson Griffin
Manvel Gamburyan
31
Sig strikes landed
35
65
Sig strikes attempted
61
48
Total strikes landed
48
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
152s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Tyson Griffin
16-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
L
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
L
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
Blue corner
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30